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Prediction markets
18 active markets
· category “Business”
How it works
How to trade
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
81%
1 (25 bps)
9%
11 more
$33.0M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
75 trading now
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
70-80B
82%
80-90B
13%
8 more
$263K
Vol.
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
48 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.48M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
83%
xAI
26%
72 more
$2.28M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
50 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
66%
OpenAI
40%
12 more
$32K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
40 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
23%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.87M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$111
62 trading now
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$75K
Vol.
Jan 1
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
KeyBank
10%
BMO
9%
17 more
$24K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$253
47 trading now
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
CME
99%
LedgerX
99%
7 more
$117K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
19%
chance
Yes
No
$59K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$132
50 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
40%
475k+
24%
7 more
$64K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$62
45 trading now
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
99%
Workhorse
50%
13 more
$194K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
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