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Prediction markets

15 active markets · category “Science”

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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?

0
96%YesNo
1
2%YesNo
$17KVol. Jun 8science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?

≤5
68%YesNo
6
27%YesNo
$6.4KVol. Jun 8science
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1
33%YesNo
2
60%YesNo
$2.93MVol. Dec 31science
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

74%

chance

YesNo
$318.72Vol. Jun 30science
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

71%

chance

YesNo
$3.3KVol. Jun 18science
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

25%

chance

YesNo
$222KVol. Dec 31science
Precipitation in London in June?

Precipitation in London in June?

40-50mm
40-50mm28%
60-70mm
60-70mm28%5 more
$925.27Vol. Jun 30science
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$109KVol. Dec 31science
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

chance

YesNo
$622KVol. Dec 31science
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

32%

chance

YesNo
$1.6KVol. Dec 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

chance

YesNo
$95KVol. Mar 31science
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

8%

chance

YesNo
$12KVol. Dec 31science